In science, there is an art to simplifying complex problems so that they can be
meaningfully analyzed. If one oversimplifies, the analysis is meaningless. If one
doesn’t simplify, then one often cannot proceed with the analysis. When it comes to
global warming due to the greenhouse effect, it is clear that many approaches are
highly oversimplified...
http://www-eaps.mit.edu/faculty/lindzen/230_TakingGr.pdf
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